How do you know? This is a normal cognitive response based on a vast reserve of knowledge, and it's the kind of thinking anyone with a big-picture view should have.
"Strange, why hasn't the Observer over there reported this?"
Gu Tao muttered, then began to look the woman up and down. She appeared to be around twenty years old, and the child in her arms seemed to still be nursing. If nothing unexpected had happened, they must have been separated from the convoy after an attack.
As for who attacked them, it was likely the Mongolian cavalry.
If Gu Tao's judgment is correct, now Adil I is either kneeling before Tie Muzhen or already dead, with the latter being more likely, because the wolves tracked them after tasting blood over there.